In Iran and Cuba Polling, It's All About How the Question is Asked

Tuesday, August 4, 2015
In April, On Message conducted a national opinion poll, which showed how the more Americans know about the Castro regime’s record on human rights violations and hostility toward the United States, the more likely they are to strongly disapprove of President Obama’s Cuba policy.

Even last year's Atlantic Council poll showed that when an explanation of human rights abuses by the Castro regime preceded the question, the number of Americans that support engagement went down from 56% to 43%.

The same thing is now playing out as regards Obama's Iran deal, where in the words of Democratic pollster Mark Mellman, "the more people know about the deal, the more likely they are to disapprove of it.”

Meanwhile, a story in Politico has suddenly "discovered" that it all depends how you ask the question, "recent polling suggests Americans both support and oppose the [Iran] agreement, depending on how the question is asked."

And, of course, every community has its Sergio Bendixen's and Guillermo Grenier's -- always happy to peddle fuzzy math -- in order to further their political agenda:

"A new national survey of 1,000 American Jews, conducted by GBA Strategies for J Street, finds that a large majority of Jews support the agreement recently reached between the United States, world powers, and Iran. The 20-point margin (60 percent to 40 percent) in favor of the agreement is consistent with the 18-point margin found in the LA Jewish Journal’s survey released last week, as well as the 18-point margin in J Street’s survey conducted prior to the agreement."

Imagine that -- even Jewish-Americans purportedly support Obama's Iran deal.

What a "novel" strategy.